- Tapa blanda: 215 páginas
- Editor: Cambridge University Press; Edición: First Edition, Sixth Impression (13 de febrero de 2003)
- Idioma: Inglés
- ISBN-10: 0521009464
- ISBN-13: 978-0521009461
- Valoración media de los clientes: Sé el primero en opinar sobre este producto
- Clasificación en los más vendidos de Amazon: nº246.415 en Libros en idiomas extranjeros (Ver el Top 100 en Libros en idiomas extranjeros)
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Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition (Inglés) Tapa blanda – 13 feb 2003
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Descripción del producto
'Life is too short to read every tome penned by Scandinavian and German social scientists. But Megaprojects and Risk, written by Bent Flyvbjerg, Nils Bruzelius and Werner Rothengatter, is a cracker. In lurid and startling detail it examines dozens of vast construction schemes around the world.' The Times
'… impressive … Get the book and read the story. It's megamazing.' Law Society Journal
'I will use this book for many years to come in my urban planning classes … Anyone concerned with public works projects, planning, and ethics in public policy making should read this book. It provides a genuinely original perspective.' Martin Wachs, University of California, Berkeley
'This book is a warning against the betrayal of public trust when hubris and profit come together. It shows that some decisions are too important to be left only to the accredited experts; that there is no substitute for a post-normal science involving citizens' active participation … We should all learn the lesson brought home by this book, and never accept uncritically the experts' 'magic numbers' that are used to justify megaprojects.' Silvio Funtowicz and Jerry Ravetz, authors of Uncertainty and Quality of Science for Policy
'Reading this fascinating story … one is reminded of Enron and similar affairs … recommends itself.' Andreas Faludi, University of Nijmegen
'The book is provocative throughout, documenting the often dismal performance history of these huge projects and calling attention to the forces that make reform a formidable undertaking.' Civil Engineering
'Megaprojects and Risk is an important and innovative book. It should be required reading for any serious student of planning and project management, as well as for professionals concerned with the planning and financing of public projects.' Peter Hall, Institute of Community Studies, London
'… should be required reading for anybody in government with any role of budgetary oversight.' Moneyweb
'The book is of enormous practical relevance, written by a team whose empirical engagement with their material - and what important empirical and theoretical material it is - is exemplary … This is a social science that matters - because it makes a difference.' Stewart Clegg, University of Technology, Sydney
'… fascinating … Do read this book.' Financial Express
Reseña del editor
Megaprojects and Risk provides the first detailed examination of the phenomenon of megaprojects. It is a fascinating account of how the promoters of multi-billion dollar megaprojects systematically and self-servingly misinform parliaments, the public and the media in order to get projects approved and built. It shows, in unusual depth, how the formula for approval is an unhealthy cocktail of underestimated costs, overestimated revenues, undervalued environmental impacts and overvalued economic development effects. This results in projects that are extremely risky, but where the risk is concealed from MPs, taxpayers and investors. The authors not only explore the problems but also suggest practical solutions drawing on theory, experience and hard, scientific evidence from the several hundred projects in twenty nations and five continents that illustrate the book. Accessibly written, it will be the standard reference for students, scholars, planners, economists, auditors, politicians and interested citizens for many years to come.Ver Descripción del producto
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I fully disagree with one of the reviewers who says that the book is negative. On one side, it is true that the book explains the likely reasons for the projects to fail. On the other hand, there is no way to escape from these explanations when you talk about risk. In any case, the authors emphasize the idea that some of the projects are worth the money, however the project goals, cost, and impacts should be evaluated and discussed by all the relevant stakeholders (not just by some of them).
The book has also a very good basis of empirical evidence which is the main reason why I rate it with 5 stars.
In an ideal world, I would like to see the same analysis extended to any kind of mega-project...
This problem is inherent in the beast. Policy-makers would love for the private sector to shoulder the risk, but may not be willing to permit a commensurate return. Private players, just as understandably, are apt to seek insurance of one kind or another on the downside. The best medicine, and one that this book delivers admirably, is simply to raise our awareness of the track record from the start.
This short book has the look and feel of an academic work. It would, however, be unfortunate if it languished at the university bookstore. Global demographics dictate that larger-scale infrastructure investments are in our future. No one should pay for, promote or plan for such projects before they have digested the lessons in Megaprojects and Risk.
Likes: inflation-adjusted money amounts, the explicit and dramatic examples.
Needs: An update (2003). Conversions into USD, GBP, or EUR would have been nice. In most cases it is unclear how the overspendings and schedule slippages were due to estimation bias vs. scope changes, inflation, financing costs, decision delays, etc. The authors provide excellent guidance, though the advice is repeated too many times in my opinion. There isn't much here about decision policy (i.e., criteria trade-offs) and quantitative methods for modeling and risk assessment.